Publication date: February 6, 2025
Trump Administration Shifts Focus to Lowering Treasury Yields

Trump Administration Shifts Focus to Lowering Treasury Yields

The Trump White House is prioritizing lower 10-year Treasury yields over pressuring the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, according to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.

Governance

In a notable shift from previous rhetoric, the Trump administration is now focusing on lowering 10-year Treasury yields rather than pushing for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, according to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. This new approach aims to ease borrowing costs across the economy without directly challenging the Fed's monetary policy decisions.

Bessent, in an interview with Fox Business, emphasized that President Trump's goal is to lower rates in general, but not through Fed action. "He and I are focused on the 10-year Treasury, and what is the yield of that," Bessent stated. "He wants lower rates. He is not calling for the Fed to lower rates."

This change in strategy comes after a period of heightened tension between the White House and the Federal Reserve, with Trump previously criticizing the central bank's policies and calling for more aggressive rate cuts. The 10-year Treasury yield, a key benchmark for various lending rates including 30-year mortgages, has become the new target for the administration's economic policy.

To achieve lower yields, the administration will need to boost demand for Treasury bonds, as yields fall when bond prices rise. Bessent argues that the administration is creating an environment conducive to bond traders by focusing on reducing government spending, increasing efficiency, and aiming for a "good interest rate cycle."

The Treasury Secretary also highlighted the administration's efforts to lower energy prices as a means to combat inflation. Trump has called for increased domestic oil production and has urged OPEC to boost supply. However, it remains to be seen whether these actions will successfully lower energy prices, given that U.S. producers are already pumping record amounts of crude oil and OPEC has shown reluctance to follow Trump's requests.

Despite the administration's optimism, some analysts warn that inflation risks tied to Trump's protectionist trade policies could potentially lead the Fed to pause rate cuts or even consider rate hikes. This tension between the administration's goals and economic realities may present challenges in the coming months.

As the 2025 presidential election approaches, the success or failure of this new economic strategy could have significant implications for both the U.S. economy and Trump's campaign. The focus on Treasury yields represents a more nuanced approach to economic management, but its effectiveness in stimulating growth and managing inflation remains to be seen.