Publication date: November 1, 2024
Goldman Sachs: Net Zero Transition to Cost $75 Trillion by 2070

Goldman Sachs: Net Zero Transition to Cost $75 Trillion by 2070

Goldman Sachs estimates that reaching net zero emissions by 2070 will require a $75 trillion investment, more than double previous projections.

Climate & Energy

Goldman Sachs has revised its projections for the cost of transitioning to net zero emissions, estimating a staggering $75 trillion investment will be required by 2070. This figure, more than two and a half times the current U.S. GDP, represents a significant increase from the bank's previous estimate of $62 trillion by 2060.

The updated forecast comes as the goals set by the 2016 Paris Agreement appear increasingly out of reach. The World Meteorological Organization warns that global temperatures could surpass the critical 1.5-degree Celsius threshold above pre-industrial levels within the next five years.

Goldman's analysis suggests that while the investment required is enormous, it also presents substantial opportunities for investors looking to capitalize on the global shift towards sustainable energy. The bank advocates for a multi-dimensional approach to reaching net zero, emphasizing the need for investments beyond renewable energy.

Of the $75 trillion, Goldman recommends allocating approximately $30 trillion to renewable energy sources. An additional $5 trillion should be directed towards improving energy storage through advanced battery technologies. The bank also sees a need for $9.3 trillion to be invested in making industrial activities more environmentally friendly, including a focus on carbon capture, utilization, and storage processes.

Notably, Goldman's projections account for the continued use of fossil fuels in the coming decades. The bank predicts that oil demand will not peak until after 2029, later than current International Energy Agency estimates. Natural gas is expected to serve as a "transition fuel" through 2050.

This comprehensive investment strategy underscores the complexity and scale of the challenge ahead in combating climate change. It also highlights the potential for significant market opportunities in various sectors of the green economy, from renewable energy to industrial decarbonization technologies.

For energy traders and analysts, these projections signal a long-term shift in global energy markets, with implications for investment strategies, policy development, and technological innovation in the energy sector.