Publication date: July 11, 2024
Chinese Manufacturers Face Oversupply Challenges in Strategic Industries

Chinese Manufacturers Face Oversupply Challenges in Strategic Industries

Chinese factories, including those in green energy sectors, are grappling with excess capacity as too many companies rush into high-tech industries.

Green Energy

Chinese manufacturers in strategic industries, particularly those related to green energy, are facing significant challenges due to oversupply. This situation has emerged as numerous companies rushed to capitalize on the government's push to dominate future technologies and remake the economy.

The predicament is particularly visible in the green energy manufacturing sector, a key focus of President Xi Jinping's efforts to advance China's geopolitical position. Solar panel producers, for instance, are currently engulfed by an oversupply crisis that is pushing companies to substantial losses and forcing a brutal industry shakeout.

In the battery sector, China's production capacity already exceeds global demand. This excess has left companies struggling to benefit from Beijing's attention while trying to avoid becoming casualties of Xi's "new productive forces" drive, which aims to accelerate technological advancements and economic growth.

The copper industry, vital for green technologies, is also affected. While demand for copper in green applications is expected to grow significantly, with Goldman Sachs projecting over 10% growth in China this year and next, manufacturers are grappling with fierce competition and overcapacity.

Jeff Pan, who manages a mid-sized copper processing plant near Shanghai, illustrates this challenge. His company, Zhejiang Huanergy Co., aimed to seize on the growing need for super-thin copper foil used in electric vehicle batteries and electronic circuitry. While demand has indeed ballooned, many other firms had the same idea, leading to intense competition and oversupply.

This situation is forcing companies to move up the value chain, cut costs, and improve product quality to survive. For the copper foil industry, this means producing sheets that are thinner, cleaner, and smoother at the molecular level.

The oversupply issues in these strategic industries highlight the complexities and potential pitfalls of state-driven economic planning, even as China seeks to dominate future technologies. As the market adjusts, it's likely that only the most innovative and efficient companies will survive, potentially strengthening China's technological edge in the long run, but at the cost of significant short-term disruption.